Thor Akureyri 3-1 IR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.6pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 33%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
2.22/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
0W-2D-0L
AWAY IR Reykjavik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.08.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
30.06.2024 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs IR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri got the better of IR Reykjavik 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thor Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Thor Akureyri and 1.00 for IR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs IR Reykjavik?

Thor Akureyri 3-1 IR Reykjavik in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs IR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 51%, draw 22%, IR Reykjavik 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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