30/06/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
IR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
31%
Draw
24%
39%
Away Win
43%
38%
Under 2.5
36%
62%
Over 2.5
64%
64%
BTTS Yes
66%
36%
BTTS No
34%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IR Reykjavik v Thor Akureyri — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
IR Reykjavik
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Thor Akureyri
EU Bookmakers 48%
+58% /
+58%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+7% /
+7%
3.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.90/2.61
+72%
/
+66%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+11%
/
-44%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
329 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
341 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
5.0
Yellow Cards
4.0
POST-MATCH
IR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
IR Reykjavik and Thor Akureyri couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.
What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
IR Reykjavik 1-1 Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri?
Before kick-off our model rated an Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 31%, draw 31%, Thor Akureyri 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İZL1
More Iceland - 1st Division
30 Jun 2024