Njardvik 2-5 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Njardvik EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.89/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.41
+8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
293 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Njardvik
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Afturelding
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
7 Corners 1
20.08.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 1-2 HT 1-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.06.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 7-2 HT 4-2 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
03.03.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 4-1 HT 1-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Njardvik
2-5
AWAY Afturelding
56% Ball Possession 44%
2 Total Shots 3
0 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Njardvik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding cruised past Njardvik 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Njardvik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Njardvik had 56% of the ball to Afturelding's 44%, shots finished 2-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Afturelding led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Njardvik and 3.33 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Njardvik vs Afturelding?

Njardvik 2-5 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Njardvik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Njardvik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Njardvik 42%, draw 21%, Afturelding 36%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Njardvik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Njardvik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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