Fjölnir 5-2 Grotta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.38
No
48%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.5pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Grotta EU Bookmakers 29%
+26% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
2.59/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.45
+36% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Grotta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2023 Grotta Grotta 3-3 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
08.06.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-2 HT 1-1 Grotta Grotta İZL1
10.09.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-1 HT 0-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
05.07.2022 Grotta Grotta 4-1 HT 2-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
15.07.2021 Grotta Grotta 2-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
14.05.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Grotta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir cruised past Grotta 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Fjölnir as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grotta led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fjölnir and 2.00 for Grotta.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Grotta?

Fjölnir 5-2 Grotta in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Grotta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 50%, draw 28%, Grotta 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fjölnir), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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