Madrid CFF (K) 1-1 A. Bilbao (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.8pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.22/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.14
+128% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
10.6 Crosses 15.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
344 Passes 384
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
20.04.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
1-1
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
0.61 xG 1.02
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
175 Passes 499
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) and A. Bilbao (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 32% of the ball to A. Bilbao (K)'s 68%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.61 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Madrid CFF (K) and 1.00 for A. Bilbao (K).

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 1-1 A. Bilbao (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, A. Bilbao (K) 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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