St. George Saints 2-4 Sydney United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney United EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.61/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.65
-12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.6
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. George Saints
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sydney United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.06.2024 Sydney United Sydney United 0-0 HT 0-0 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
16.03.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 2-3 HT 0-2 Sydney United Sydney United AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. George Saints vs Sydney United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney United beat St. George Saints 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was St. George Saints at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sydney United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. George Saints and 1.50 for Sydney United.

What was the final score of St. George Saints vs Sydney United?

St. George Saints 2-4 Sydney United in the Australia - National Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. George Saints vs Sydney United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. George Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. George Saints 42%, draw 28%, Sydney United 30%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. George Saints) ✗ Under 2.5
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