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Melbourne Victory (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melbourne Victory (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals
Melbourne Victory (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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0-0
HT 0-0
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Brisbane Roar (K)
AVUSTW
2-3
HT 1-2
Melbourne Victory (K)
AVUSTW
4-3
HT 1-1
Melbourne Victory (K)
AVUSTW
2-1
HT 0-1
Melbourne Victory (K)
AVUSTW
Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory (K) got the better of Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 57% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 43%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.71 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 1.83 for Brisbane Roar (K).
What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?
Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 48%, draw 26%, Brisbane Roar (K) 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.