W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 19 Apr 2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-3 HT 0-1
Canberra United (K)
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒09:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+4.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) v Canberra United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.51/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.51
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.1 Crosses 11.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 Passes 255
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
13.03.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
09.03.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
26.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-2 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 Canberra United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-3
AWAY Canberra United (K)
1.55 xG 2.06
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
343 Passes 194
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) beat W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Canberra United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 60% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 40%, shots finished 22-16, expected goals 1.55 to 2.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.00 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 37%, draw 23%, Canberra United (K) 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra United (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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