RB Ouargla 1-2 USM El Harrach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
9.57
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
3.59
No
61%
1.24
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
8%
+13.0pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.9pp
61%
Away Win
72%
-11.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
24%
+14.9pp
62%
BTTS No
76%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Ouargla EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 75%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/0.00
+48% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
212 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Ouargla
0W-1D-1L
AWAY USM El Harrach
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
07.12.2024 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 3-0 HT 0-0 RB Ouargla RB Ouargla CZYR2
04.03.2024 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 1-1 RB Ouargla RB Ouargla CZYR2
POST-MATCH RB Ouargla vs USM El Harrach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach squeezed past RB Ouargla 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM El Harrach led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for RB Ouargla and 2.00 for USM El Harrach.

What was the final score of RB Ouargla vs USM El Harrach?

RB Ouargla 1-2 USM El Harrach in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Ouargla vs USM El Harrach?

Before kick-off our model rated an USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split RB Ouargla 21%, draw 18%, USM El Harrach 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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