Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3 Kedus Giorgis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.54
Over 2.5
31%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
23%
+0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.0pp
31%
Over 2.5
39%
-8.0pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.7pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 50%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.95
-100% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis 2-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1-3
AWAY Kedus Giorgis
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Kedus Giorgis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis beat Welwalo Adigrat Uni 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kedus Giorgis as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Welwalo Adigrat Uni had 52% of the ball to Kedus Giorgis's 48%, shots finished 9-11.

What was the final score of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Kedus Giorgis?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3 Kedus Giorgis in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Kedus Giorgis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kedus Giorgis win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Welwalo Adigrat Uni 23%, draw 29%, Kedus Giorgis 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kedus Giorgis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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