Kedus Giorgis 2-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
49%
-13.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
22%
+14.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kedus Giorgis EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kedus Giorgis
2-1
AWAY Welwalo Adigrat Uni
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kedus Giorgis nicked a narrow win over Welwalo Adigrat Uni 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 36% — and on the day Kedus Giorgis made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kedus Giorgis had 56% of the ball to Welwalo Adigrat Uni's 44%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Kedus Giorgis 2-1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kedus Giorgis vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?

Before kick-off our model rated an Welwalo Adigrat Uni win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kedus Giorgis 35%, draw 29%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 36%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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