Bahardar 0-1 Adama City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Adama City EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.34/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.42
-72% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Adama City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2024 Adama City Adama City 2-3 HT 1-1 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
0-1
AWAY Adama City
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Adama City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adama City squeezed past Bahardar 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Bahardar at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bahardar had 50% of the ball to Adama City's 50%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Adama City?

Bahardar 0-1 Adama City in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Adama City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 51%, draw 24%, Adama City 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahardar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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