Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 AZ (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 19 Apr 2025

Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-3 HT 0-2
AZ (K)
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
64%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+8.7pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.8pp
64%
Away Win
74%
-9.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) v AZ (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.37/4.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/2.67
+79% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -74%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
197 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 88%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
6.1 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AZ (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
165 Passes 365
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
3 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2024 AZ (K) AZ (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
28.01.2024 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 AZ (K) AZ (K) HOLK1

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 AZ (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
1-3
AWAY AZ (K)
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
138 Passes 501
54% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) saw off Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AZ (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) had 30% of the ball to AZ (K)'s 70%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AZ (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) and 3.00 for AZ (K).

What was the final score of Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-3 AZ (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Barendrecht (K) vs AZ (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 19%, draw 17%, AZ (K) 64%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
19 Apr 2025
15:00 Fortuna Sittard (K) vs Telstar (K) Analysis →
17:30 ADO Den Haag (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Analysis →