Al Ahed 1-0 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
306 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahed
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.01.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed nicked a narrow win over Al Nejmeh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?

Al Ahed 1-0 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Ahed 44%, draw 28%, Al Nejmeh 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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