Pahang 3-2 Pulau Pinang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malaysia - Super League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
35%
2.1
Over Pick
65%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.66
No
36%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
25%
4-5
33%
6+
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-13.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.7pp
35%
Under 2.5
44%
-9.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
56%
+9.3pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.6pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pahang EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Pulau Pinang EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.13/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.23
+27% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pahang
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Pulau Pinang
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
20.10.2024 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 0-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
14.06.2024 Pahang Pahang 1-1 HT 0-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALEFK
26.11.2023 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 3-2 HT 1-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
20.05.2023 Pahang Pahang 1-0 HT 0-0 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
18.08.2022 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang 2-3 HT 0-1 Pahang Pahang MALES
23.04.2022 Pahang Pahang 3-1 HT 1-1 Pulau Pinang Pulau Pinang MALES
POST-MATCH Pahang vs Pulau Pinang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pahang squeezed past Pulau Pinang 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Pahang found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pahang had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pahang and 1.17 for Pulau Pinang.

What was the final score of Pahang vs Pulau Pinang?

Pahang 3-2 Pulau Pinang in the Malaysia - Super League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pahang vs Pulau Pinang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pahang win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pahang 40%, draw 28%, Pulau Pinang 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pahang), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pahang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MALES More Malaysia - Super League
19 Apr 2025
15:15 Selangor FA vs PDRM Analysis →