Wisla Krakow 1-0 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.51
Over 2.5
46%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
5.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.97
4-5 Goals
22%
2.59
6+ Goals
11%
6.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.15 — our 30% vs market 14.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.5pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
36%
+17.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
64%
-17.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 14%
-16% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.77/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.87
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-3 HT 1-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
1-0
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow squeezed past Pogon Siedlce 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wisla Krakow as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 68% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 32%, shots finished 14-4.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Wisla Krakow 1-0 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 58%, draw 23%, Pogon Siedlce 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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