Pogon Siedlce 1-3 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.79
6+ Goals
13%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+11.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 66%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.73/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.43
-26% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
1-3
AWAY Wisla Krakow
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow saw off Pogon Siedlce 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wisla Krakow as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 36% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 64%, shots finished 3-20.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla Krakow?

Pogon Siedlce 1-3 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 29%, draw 22%, Wisla Krakow 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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