Wisla Plock 4-1 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.47/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.15
-11% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
444 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.06.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 3-1 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock HAZ
15.03.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2-2 HT 1-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
02.09.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-0 HT 2-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
4-1
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock cruised past Polonia Warszawa 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 53% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 47%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wisla Plock and 1.67 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Polonia Warszawa?

Wisla Plock 4-1 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 43%, draw 27%, Polonia Warszawa 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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