Polonia Warszawa 3-1 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
36%
3.72
Away
39%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.3pp
36%
Draw
23%
+12.5pp
39%
Away Win
52%
-12.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 56%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
2.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
+57% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -58%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
367 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Warszawa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2-2 HT 1-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
02.09.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-0 HT 2-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa got the better of Wisla Plock 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (26% / 36% / 39%) promised a tight game; Polonia Warszawa found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wisla Plock led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polonia Warszawa and 2.50 for Wisla Plock.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock?

Polonia Warszawa 3-1 Wisla Plock in the Friendlies on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Wisla Plock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 26%, draw 36%, Wisla Plock 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wisla Plock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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