Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
46%
1.86
4-5 Goals
19%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 25% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 50%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.76
-14% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +38%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
27.01.2024 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola HAZ
17.06.2020 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 3-0 HT 1-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL2
14.09.2019 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 2-1 HT 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola and Stal Rzeszow couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stal Rzeszow at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stal Rzeszow led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 1.33 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Stal Rzeszow?

Stal Stalowa Wola 2-2 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 31%, draw 27%, Stal Rzeszow 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
5 Oct 2024
18:30 Wisla Plock vs Polonia Warszawa Analysis →
20:35 Pogon Siedlce vs Wisla Krakow Analysis →