Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.15/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.58
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +118%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.09.2024 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1 HT 1-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
2-1
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz squeezed past Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 48% of the ball to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 52%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Poland - 2nd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 30%, draw 24%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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