SSC Farul 1-1 Hermannstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
8%
11.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 34%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.46/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.34
+22% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.1 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Hermannstadt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
420 Passes 344
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
03.12.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
19.08.2024 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
11.11.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-1 HT 1-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
15.07.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
10.12.2022 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 4-0 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
1-1
AWAY Hermannstadt
0.40 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
421 Passes 302
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
3 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs Hermannstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Farul and Hermannstadt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SSC Farul had 56% of the ball to Hermannstadt's 44%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.40 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SSC Farul and 1.33 for Hermannstadt.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs Hermannstadt?

SSC Farul 1-1 Hermannstadt in the Romania - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs Hermannstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 37%, draw 30%, Hermannstadt 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SSC Farul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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19 Apr 2025
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