19/04/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Zarzis vs US Tataouine Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46
— our 36% vs market 33.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
31%
Draw
27%
21%
Away Win
22%
63%
Under 2.5
58%
37%
Over 2.5
42%
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
62%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Zarzis v US Tataouine — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Zarzis
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
US Tataouine
EU Bookmakers 25%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+7%
1.34/0.67
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.89/1.41
+7%
/
+11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+8%
/
-21%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
278 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
290 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.4
Zarzis vs US Tataouine Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Zarzis
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
US Tataouine
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
57%
Ball Possession
43%
10
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
0
1
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Zarzis vs US Tataouine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Zarzis cruised past US Tataouine 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zarzis as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.
What was the final score of Zarzis vs US Tataouine?
Zarzis 3-0 US Tataouine in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Zarzis vs US Tataouine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Zarzis win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zarzis 49%, draw 31%, US Tataouine 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zarzis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Zarzis)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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TUN1
More Tunisia - 1st Division
19 Apr 2025