CS Sfaxien 1-1 ES Metlaoui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.41
Over 2.5
32%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.81
No
66%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
6.57
6+ Goals
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
58%
-13.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+11.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
32%
+2.5pp
66%
BTTS No
68%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.43/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/0.91
+4% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +47%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CS Sfaxien
3W-0D-3L
AWAY ES Metlaoui
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
22.12.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1
25.11.2023 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
17.09.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1B
03.06.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-3 HT 0-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TNUSK
03.03.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien TUN1A
14.11.2021 CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1A
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CS Sfaxien
1-1
AWAY ES Metlaoui
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien and ES Metlaoui couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CS Sfaxien at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, CS Sfaxien had 56% of the ball to ES Metlaoui's 44%, shots finished 16-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CS Sfaxien and 0.83 for ES Metlaoui.

What was the final score of CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui?

CS Sfaxien 1-1 ES Metlaoui in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Sfaxien vs ES Metlaoui?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CS Sfaxien 44%, draw 30%, ES Metlaoui 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CS Sfaxien), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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