Juventud 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
0.83/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.03
-31% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 0
25.07.2022 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU2
24.11.2021 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-1 HT 2-0 Juventud Juventud URU2
02.11.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
15.11.2017 Juventud Juventud 0-2 HT 0-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
1-0
AWAY Racing Club Montevideo
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Racing Club Montevideo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud squeezed past Racing Club Montevideo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; Juventud found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Juventud had 48% of the ball to Racing Club Montevideo's 52%, shots finished 7-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Racing Club Montevideo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Juventud and 1.50 for Racing Club Montevideo.

What was the final score of Juventud vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Juventud 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Racing Club Montevideo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juventud 33%, draw 29%, Racing Club Montevideo 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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