Cerro Largo 1-0 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.60/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.10
+27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CA River Plate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
05.05.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-3 HT 2-2 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
19.08.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
05.02.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
30.08.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-5 HT 0-3 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
26.07.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo nicked a narrow win over CA River Plate 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Largo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.33 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs CA River Plate?

Cerro Largo 1-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 42%, draw 28%, CA River Plate 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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