CA River Plate 2-3 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.21/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.24
+2% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA River Plate
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
05.02.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-1 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
30.08.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-5 HT 0-3 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
26.07.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
05.03.2022 CA River Plate CA River Plate 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
02.10.2021 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-4 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA River Plate
2-3
AWAY Cerro Largo
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CA River Plate vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo edged past CA River Plate 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Cerro Largo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CA River Plate had 63% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 37%, shots finished 15-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Largo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA River Plate and 1.17 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of CA River Plate vs Cerro Largo?

CA River Plate 2-3 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA River Plate vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CA River Plate 34%, draw 32%, Cerro Largo 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Largo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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5 May 2024
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