Centro Atletico Fenix 0-2 Defensor Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
0.95/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.98
-19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
204 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Defensor Sporting
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.08.2023 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
07.02.2023 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-3 HT 0-2 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
20.09.2022 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
16.04.2022 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-1 HT 2-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
15.02.2021 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 2-2 HT 1-1 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix URU
23.08.2020 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix 5-0 HT 3-0 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Centro Atletico Fenix
0-2
AWAY Defensor Sporting
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Centro Atletico Fenix vs Defensor Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensor Sporting saw off Centro Atletico Fenix 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Defensor Sporting made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Centro Atletico Fenix had 45% of the ball to Defensor Sporting's 55%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Centro Atletico Fenix had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Centro Atletico Fenix and 1.00 for Defensor Sporting.

What was the final score of Centro Atletico Fenix vs Defensor Sporting?

Centro Atletico Fenix 0-2 Defensor Sporting in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Centro Atletico Fenix vs Defensor Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated an Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Centro Atletico Fenix 32%, draw 29%, Defensor Sporting 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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