Deportivo Maldonado 3-0 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.13/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.02
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Cerro
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.09.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
18.07.2023 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Cerro URU
18.02.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
14.03.2021 Cerro Cerro 2-3 HT 0-2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
13.09.2020 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
3-0
AWAY Cerro
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maldonado ran out comfortable winners over Cerro 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Maldonado found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 56% of the ball to Cerro's 44%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.00 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro?

Deportivo Maldonado 3-0 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 37%, draw 28%, Cerro 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
URU More Uruguay - Premier League
5 May 2024
16:00 CA River Plate vs Cerro Largo Analysis →
21:00 Centro Atletico Fenix vs Defensor Sporting Analysis →