Lerumo Lions 2-0 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
48%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lerumo Lions EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
434 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lerumo Lions
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baroka
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Baroka Baroka 1-2 HT 0-1 Lerumo Lions GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lerumo Lions
2-0
AWAY Baroka
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lerumo Lions vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lerumo Lions beat Baroka 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lerumo Lions as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lerumo Lions had 53% of the ball to Baroka's 47%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Lerumo Lions vs Baroka?

Lerumo Lions 2-0 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lerumo Lions vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lerumo Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lerumo Lions 53%, draw 28%, Baroka 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lerumo Lions), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lerumo Lions) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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