Seongnam 0-1 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
24%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.3pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seongnam EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.4 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seongnam
0-1
AWAY Paju Citizen
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
316 Passes 213
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seongnam vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen edged past Seongnam 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Seongnam at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Seongnam had 59% of the ball to Paju Citizen's 41%, shots finished 12-12.

What was the final score of Seongnam vs Paju Citizen?

Seongnam 0-1 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seongnam vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seongnam win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Seongnam 53%, draw 22%, Paju Citizen 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Seongnam) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seongnam) ✓ BTTS No
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