Hwaseong 2-2 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
54%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.48
Over 2.5
58%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.14
2-3 Goals
48%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
5.1
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.9pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.0pp
54%
Away Win
44%
+9.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
64%
-21.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
36%
+21.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
0.89/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.50
-17% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +105%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
12.6 Crosses 20.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hwaseong
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
319 Passes 250
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 5-1 HT 2-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
02.08.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
10.05.2025 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
09.11.2021 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
04.06.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GK3L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hwaseong
2-2
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
224 Passes 451
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hwaseong and Gimpo Citizen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gimpo Citizen at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Hwaseong had 35% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 65%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Hwaseong and 1.80 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?

Hwaseong 2-2 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hwaseong vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hwaseong 23%, draw 23%, Gimpo Citizen 54%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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