Gimpo Citizen 5-1 Hwaseong — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.28
6+ Goals
8%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hwaseong EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.30/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.25
-12% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses 10.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimpo Citizen
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Hwaseong
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
266 Passes 292
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
10.05.2025 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GKOR2
09.11.2021 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-0 HT 0-0 Hwaseong Hwaseong GK3L
04.06.2021 Hwaseong Hwaseong 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GK3L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimpo Citizen
5-1
AWAY Hwaseong
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
218 Passes 375
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 21
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimpo Citizen swept aside Hwaseong 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gimpo Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gimpo Citizen had 39% of the ball to Hwaseong's 61%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimpo Citizen had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 0.00 for Hwaseong.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Gimpo Citizen 5-1 Hwaseong in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Hwaseong?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 38%, draw 29%, Hwaseong 33%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimpo Citizen), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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