Shatin SA 1-4 Metro Gallery — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 19 Apr 2026

📅19/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
72%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.27
No
45%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
10%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
47%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.1pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.7pp
72%
Away Win
88%
-15.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
40%
+14.9pp
45%
BTTS No
60%
-14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Metro Gallery EU Bookmakers 94%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.94/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.44/1.25
-3% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -24%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
225 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 0.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Metro Gallery
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery 1-1 HT 0-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
02.04.2023 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
07.11.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-1 HT 1-1 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
1-4
AWAY Metro Gallery
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Metro Gallery
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metro Gallery ran out comfortable winners over Shatin SA 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Metro Gallery as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shatin SA had 39% of the ball to Metro Gallery's 61%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shatin SA and 1.00 for Metro Gallery.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Metro Gallery?

Shatin SA 1-4 Metro Gallery in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 19/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Metro Gallery?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metro Gallery win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 13%, draw 15%, Metro Gallery 72%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metro Gallery), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Metro Gallery) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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