Metro Gallery 1-1 Shatin SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.27
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.49
No
36%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
3%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
75%
-1.8pp
13%
Draw
14%
-0.4pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
63%
+0.8pp
36%
BTTS No
37%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metro Gallery EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
4.87/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/2.96
+62% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +4%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
502 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metro Gallery
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shatin SA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2023 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
07.11.2021 Shatin SA Shatin SA 3-1 HT 1-1 Metro Gallery Metro Gallery HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metro Gallery
1-1
AWAY Shatin SA
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Metro Gallery vs Shatin SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metro Gallery and Shatin SA couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Metro Gallery at 73% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (75%) missed.

On the day, Metro Gallery had 67% of the ball to Shatin SA's 33%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metro Gallery and 1.50 for Shatin SA.

What was the final score of Metro Gallery vs Shatin SA?

Metro Gallery 1-1 Shatin SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metro Gallery vs Shatin SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metro Gallery win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Metro Gallery 73%, draw 13%, Shatin SA 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Metro Gallery), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metro Gallery) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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