Sham Shui Po 0-3 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.38
No
41%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.8pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.25/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.01/0.25
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
223 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hoi King
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2025 Hoi King Hoi King 3-0 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
06.10.2024 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 3-2 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
10.10.2021 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-1 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sham Shui Po
0-3
AWAY Hoi King
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King ran out comfortable winners over Sham Shui Po 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hoi King as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Sham Shui Po had 44% of the ball to Hoi King's 56%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sham Shui Po and 2.00 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Hoi King?

Sham Shui Po 0-3 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 30%, draw 19%, Hoi King 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoi King) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
26 Oct 2025
08:30 Citizen AA vs South China Analysis →
08:30 Metro Gallery vs Shatin SA Analysis →
10:00 Kwun Tong vs 3 Sing Analysis →
10:30 Tung Sing vs Resources Capital FC Analysis →
10:30 Central & Western vs Yuen Long Analysis →
11:45 Lucky Mile vs WSE Analysis →