Citizen AA 0-3 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.65
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
64%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
39%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
18%
-1.3pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.7pp
64%
Away Win
61%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.8pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 66%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
0.56/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.43
-55% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -22%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
276 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
3W-3D-0L
AWAY South China
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 South China South China 0-4 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
06.10.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-2 South China South China HK2
28.01.2024 South China South China 2-4 HT 0-2 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
14.01.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-2 HT 1-0 South China South China HK2
19.02.2023 South China South China 1-2 HT 1-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
13.11.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-1 HT 0-1 South China South China HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Citizen AA
0-3
AWAY South China
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China ran out comfortable winners over Citizen AA 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Citizen AA had 38% of the ball to South China's 62%, shots finished 3-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Citizen AA had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Citizen AA and 1.33 for South China.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs South China?

Citizen AA 0-3 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated an South China win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 17%, draw 19%, South China 64%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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