South China 0-4 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.15/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/2.07
+99% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Citizen AA
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-2 South China South China HK2
28.01.2024 South China South China 2-4 HT 0-2 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
14.01.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-2 HT 1-0 South China South China HK2
19.02.2023 South China South China 1-2 HT 1-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
13.11.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-1 HT 0-1 South China South China HK2
12.12.2021 South China South China 4-0 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
0-4
AWAY Citizen AA
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH South China vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA swept aside South China 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was South China at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, South China had 53% of the ball to Citizen AA's 47%, shots finished 5-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Citizen AA led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for South China and 1.83 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of South China vs Citizen AA?

South China 0-4 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated a South China win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split South China 46%, draw 28%, Citizen AA 26%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (South China), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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