Hoi King 1-0 Eastern District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.74
Over 2.5
59%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.2pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern District EU Bookmakers 30%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.51/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.55
-17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoi King
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Eastern District
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 3-2 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
18.02.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 3-1 HT 1-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
15.10.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
18.12.2022 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
1-0
AWAY Eastern District
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs Eastern District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King squeezed past Eastern District 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoi King as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoi King had 49% of the ball to Eastern District's 51%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eastern District led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hoi King and 2.00 for Eastern District.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs Eastern District?

Hoi King 1-0 Eastern District in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Eastern District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 47%, draw 26%, Eastern District 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoi King) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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