Eastern District 3-2 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.96
Over 2.5
51%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
30%
+18.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
70%
-18.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.6pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 42%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.24/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.85
-23% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Hoi King
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
18.02.2024 Eastern District Eastern District 3-1 HT 1-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
15.10.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
18.12.2022 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
3-2
AWAY Hoi King
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern District nicked a narrow win over Hoi King 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Eastern District found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastern District had 54% of the ball to Hoi King's 46%, shots finished 15-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eastern District had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Eastern District and 1.00 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs Hoi King?

Eastern District 3-2 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 33%, draw 29%, Hoi King 38%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hoi King) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hoi King) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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