Sham Shui Po 0-2 Resources Capital FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.38
Over 2.5
67%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.5
No
35%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
33%
Under 2.5
38%
-5.4pp
67%
Over 2.5
62%
+5.4pp
65%
BTTS Yes
62%
+2.2pp
35%
BTTS No
38%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Resources Capital FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Resources Capital FC
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK1
22.10.2023 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 0-1 HT 0-0 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC HK1
12.02.2023 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 0-2 HT 0-0 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC HK1
12.11.2022 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK1
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs Resources Capital FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resources Capital FC saw off Sham Shui Po 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sham Shui Po at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (65%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Resources Capital FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Sham Shui Po and 1.25 for Resources Capital FC.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Resources Capital FC?

Sham Shui Po 0-2 Resources Capital FC in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Resources Capital FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sham Shui Po win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 52%, draw 24%, Resources Capital FC 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sham Shui Po) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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