Yuen Long 2-1 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-5.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 61%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
1.32/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.70/0.99
+22% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
1W-4D-1L
AWAY South China
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 South China South China 5-2 HT 3-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
22.10.2023 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-0 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
12.02.2023 South China South China 1-1 HT 0-0 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
28.11.2021 South China South China 1-1 HT 0-1 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
02.05.2015 Yuen Long Yuen Long 1-0 HT 0-0 South China South China HK1
08.03.2014 Yuen Long Yuen Long 2-2 HT 1-2 South China South China HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
2-1
AWAY South China
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long squeezed past South China 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was South China at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Yuen Long had 50% of the ball to South China's 50%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yuen Long and 1.50 for South China.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs South China?

Yuen Long 2-1 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated an South China win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 24%, draw 25%, South China 51%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (South China) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5
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