Yuen Long 2-3 Resources Capital FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-10.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Resources Capital FC EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
3.06/2.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.50
+58% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yuen Long
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Resources Capital FC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
29.09.2024 Resources Capital FC Resources Capital FC 0-4 Yuen Long Yuen Long HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yuen Long
2-3
AWAY Resources Capital FC
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Resources Capital FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Resources Capital FC squeezed past Yuen Long 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Yuen Long had 45% of the ball to Resources Capital FC's 55%, shots finished 8-23.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Resources Capital FC?

Yuen Long 2-3 Resources Capital FC in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Resources Capital FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 42%, draw 31%, Resources Capital FC 27%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yuen Long), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK2 More Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division
23 Feb 2025
08:00 Hoi King vs Eastern District Analysis →
10:00 South China vs Citizen AA Analysis →
10:30 Wing Yee vs WSE Analysis →
12:30 Central & Western vs Shatin SA Analysis →
14:30 3 Sing vs Sham Shui Po Analysis →