Hoi King 3-0 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
30%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.8pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoi King EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 21%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.37/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/2.99
-41% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoi King
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.10.2024 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 3-2 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
10.10.2021 Hoi King Hoi King 1-1 HT 0-1 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoi King
3-0
AWAY Sham Shui Po
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hoi King vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King ran out comfortable winners over Sham Shui Po 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hoi King as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hoi King had 52% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 48%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sham Shui Po led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hoi King and 2.00 for Sham Shui Po.

What was the final score of Hoi King vs Sham Shui Po?

Hoi King 3-0 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoi King vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoi King win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Hoi King 60%, draw 16%, Sham Shui Po 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoi King), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoi King) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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