Tuen Mun SA 0-2 Yuen Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
58%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.6
No
39%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
37%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+5.8pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
58%
Away Win
63%
-5.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS No
42%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 67%
+78% / +78% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.73
+150% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +85%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuen Mun SA
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yuen Long
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
13.10.2024 Yuen Long Yuen Long 0-3 Tuen Mun SA Tuen Mun SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuen Mun SA
0-2
AWAY Yuen Long
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tuen Mun SA vs Yuen Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yuen Long beat Tuen Mun SA 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yuen Long as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tuen Mun SA had 39% of the ball to Yuen Long's 61%, shots finished 9-25.

What was the final score of Tuen Mun SA vs Yuen Long?

Tuen Mun SA 0-2 Yuen Long in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuen Mun SA vs Yuen Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tuen Mun SA 23%, draw 20%, Yuen Long 58%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yuen Long) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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