Yuen Long 0-3 Tuen Mun SA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 13 Oct 2024

Yuen Long
0-3
Tuen Mun SA
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2024/2025

Yuen Long vs Tuen Mun SA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.5pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yuen Long v Tuen Mun SA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yuen Long EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Tuen Mun SA EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Yuen Long vs Tuen Mun SA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuen Mun SA swept aside Yuen Long 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Yuen Long at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Yuen Long vs Tuen Mun SA?

Yuen Long 0-3 Tuen Mun SA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yuen Long vs Tuen Mun SA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yuen Long win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yuen Long 41%, draw 25%, Tuen Mun SA 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Yuen Long), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yuen Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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