Shatin SA 1-2 Hoi King — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.9pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.5pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shatin SA EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoi King EU Bookmakers 33%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.27/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.09
-32% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shatin SA
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Hoi King
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Hoi King Hoi King 3-2 HT 0-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
26.11.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 5-1 HT 3-0 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
19.03.2023 Shatin SA Shatin SA 2-5 HT 0-1 Hoi King Hoi King HK2
08.01.2023 Hoi King Hoi King 1-2 HT 1-1 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
12.12.2021 Hoi King Hoi King 2-1 HT 1-0 Shatin SA Shatin SA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shatin SA
1-2
AWAY Hoi King
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Shatin SA vs Hoi King
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoi King nicked a narrow win over Shatin SA 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Shatin SA at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shatin SA had 55% of the ball to Hoi King's 45%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hoi King led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Shatin SA and 2.40 for Hoi King.

What was the final score of Shatin SA vs Hoi King?

Shatin SA 1-2 Hoi King in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shatin SA vs Hoi King?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shatin SA win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shatin SA 46%, draw 21%, Hoi King 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shatin SA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shatin SA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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