Citizen AA 4-0 Wing Yee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 13 Oct 2024

Citizen AA
4-0
Wing Yee
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division – 2024/2025

Citizen AA vs Wing Yee Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
25%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.17
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
2.03
No
41%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
79%
-24.1pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.8pp
24%
Away Win
8%
+16.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
45%
+13.9pp
41%
BTTS No
55%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Citizen AA v Wing Yee — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Wing Yee EU Bookmakers 11%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.10/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.28
-67% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
462 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.3

Citizen AA vs Wing Yee Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Wing Yee
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Wing Yee Wing Yee 2-0 HT 0-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
17.12.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-0 HT 0-0 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
16.04.2023 Wing Yee Wing Yee 2-2 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
09.10.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 0-2 HT 0-0 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
03.10.2021 Wing Yee Wing Yee 0-0 HT 0-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2

Citizen AA 4-0 Wing Yee — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Citizen AA
4-0
AWAY Wing Yee
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs Wing Yee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA ran out comfortable winners over Wing Yee 4-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Citizen AA had 66% of the ball to Wing Yee's 34%, shots finished 24-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wing Yee led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Citizen AA and 1.20 for Wing Yee.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs Wing Yee?

Citizen AA 4-0 Wing Yee in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs Wing Yee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 55%, draw 20%, Wing Yee 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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