Wing Yee 2-0 Citizen AA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.4pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wing Yee EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.84/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/0.74
-11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +59%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wing Yee
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Citizen AA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.12.2023 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-0 HT 0-0 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
16.04.2023 Wing Yee Wing Yee 2-2 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
09.10.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 0-2 HT 0-0 Wing Yee Wing Yee HK2
03.10.2021 Wing Yee Wing Yee 0-0 HT 0-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wing Yee
2-0
AWAY Citizen AA
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wing Yee vs Citizen AA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wing Yee saw off Citizen AA 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Citizen AA at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wing Yee had 46% of the ball to Citizen AA's 54%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wing Yee and 0.75 for Citizen AA.

What was the final score of Wing Yee vs Citizen AA?

Wing Yee 2-0 Citizen AA in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wing Yee vs Citizen AA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wing Yee 31%, draw 21%, Citizen AA 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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