South China 0-1 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-8.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South China EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 51%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/2.28
-11% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -65%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South China
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kowloon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
17.12.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 1-2 HT 1-2 South China South China HK2
12.03.2023 South China South China 1-1 HT 1-0 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK2
20.11.2022 Kowloon City Kowloon City 2-0 HT 1-0 South China South China HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South China
0-1
AWAY Kowloon City
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 4
0 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH South China vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kowloon City squeezed past South China 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Kowloon City made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, South China had 44% of the ball to Kowloon City's 56%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for South China and 1.33 for Kowloon City.

What was the final score of South China vs Kowloon City?

South China 0-1 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South China vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kowloon City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split South China 36%, draw 26%, Kowloon City 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kowloon City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kowloon City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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